Arthur Hayes：AI 巨头股权稀释或短期压制比特币，央行干预可能带来长期利好
Arthur Hayes: AI Giants’ Equity Dilution May Pressure Stock Prices, Bearish for Bitcoin in the Short Term, Bullish if Central Banks Step In Long Term BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said in his latest article “D is for Dilution” that large-scale share unlocks and equity dilution after IPOs of AI giants such as SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI could pressure their stock prices and raise debt financing costs across the AI industry. He estimates that early IPO investors in Anthropic could face up to 83% equity dilution by June 2027. Hayes believes that a decline in AI stock prices could weaken bank credit expansion, leading to a contraction in dollar liquidity and weighing on Bitcoin and other crypto assets. His investment firm Maelstrom will remain on the sidelines until liquidity conditions clearly improve. However, he expects that if the AI industry faces a systemic crisis, central banks may ultimately respond with monetary easing, which would be bullish for Bitcoin in the long run.
BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 认为，AI 巨头股权稀释可能压低股价并收紧美元流动性，短期利空比特币。他估计 Anthropic 的早期 IPO 投资者到 2027 年 6 月可能面临最高 83% 的股权稀释，Maelstrom 将观望至流动性明显改善。若 AI 行业出现系统性危机，他预计央行可能采取货币宽松，长期利好比特币。
来源：WuBlockchain · x.com