Polymarket 中期选举市场显示民主党横扫两院的隐含概率达 100%
Polymarket Shows Democratic Sweep of Both Chambers, Market Bets on Trump Facing "Crushing Defeat" in Midterms According to the latest trading data from onchain prediction market Polymarket as of November 3, 2026, the market-implied probability of a "Democrats Sweep"in the 2026 Midterm Elections market has reached 100%. This indicates that onchain capital has priced in a near-total certainty that Democrats will capture full control of both chambers of Congress, with the market placing heavy, almost decisive bets that Donald Trump's governing coalition will suffer a "crushing defeat" in the midterms. If both houses change hands, the legislative progress of US crypto policy could face heightened uncertainty, while the Trump family's commercial crypto interests are likely to come under intensified scrutiny and question.
截至 2026 年 11 月 3 日，Polymarket 的 2026 年中期选举市场显示，民主党横扫国会两院的隐含概率达到 100%。WuBlockchain 称，市场押注特朗普执政联盟将在中期选举中遭遇惨败；若两院均易手，美国加密政策的立法进程可能面临更大不确定性，特朗普家族的加密商业利益也可能受到更严格审视。
来源：WuBlockchain · x.com